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After the killings of key Hamas figures, Israel’s Prime Minister Netanyahu has said victory is near. But forensic analyses by @CNN, @criticalthreats and @thestudyofwar show a very different picture on the ground in Gaza – as @tamaraqiblawi reports. pic.twitter.com/KityoqymyR
— Christiane Amanpour (@amanpour) August 5, 2024
The media has to admit that the media is completely full of shit and there is no reason to believe that Israel can ever defeat Hamas?
CNN:
Nearly half of Hamas’ military battalions in northern and central Gaza have rebuilt some of their fighting capabilities despite more than nine months of Israel’s brutal offensive, according to analyses by the American Enterprise Institute’s Critical Threats Project, the Institute for the Study of War and CNN.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who faces growing international pressure to agree to a ceasefire and hostage release deal in Gaza, has repeatedly said that Israeli forces are nearing their stated goal of eliminating Hamas and destroying its military capabilities. Addressing a joint meeting of Congress on July 24, he said: “Victory is in sight.”
But forensic analyses of Hamas’ military operations since it led attacks against Israel on October 7, which draw on Israeli and Hamas military statements, footage from the ground and interviews with experts and eyewitnesses, cast doubt on his claims.
…
The research, which covers Hamas’ activities up until July, shows that the group appears to have made effective use of dwindling resources on the ground. Several units have made a comeback in key areas cleared by the Israeli military after pitched battles and intensive bombardment, according to the new analyses, salvaging the remnants of their battalions in a desperate bid to replenish their ranks.
“The Israelis would say that they cleared a place, but they haven’t fully cleared these areas, they haven’t defeated these fighters at all,” said Brian Carter, Middle East portfolio manager for Critical Threats Project (CTP), who led the joint research with the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) into patterns of Hamas and Israeli military activity.
“(Hamas) are ready to fight and want to fight.”
Yeah, they like fighting.
They are good fighters.
In a statement to CNN, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) rejected the findings. “The majority of Hamas brigades have been dismantled, and most battalions are at a low level of readiness, meaning they cannot function as a military framework,” it said.
…
“If the Hamas battalions were largely destroyed, Israeli forces wouldn’t still be fighting,” said retired US Army Col. Peter Mansoor, who helped oversee the deployment of an additional 30,000 US troops to Iraq in 2007 – a counterinsurgency strategy known as “the surge.”
Mansoor served as executive officer to retired Gen. David Petraeus, the head of US-led multinational forces at the time.
“The fact that they’re still in Gaza, still trying to rout out elements of the Hamas battalions shows me that Prime Minister Netanyahu is wrong,” he added. “The ability of Hamas to reconstitute its fighting forces is undiminished.”
…
On January 7, the Israeli military said it had dismantled Hamas’ command structure in northern Gaza.
Within days, however, there were reports of attacks on Israeli patrols in eastern parts of Gaza City. Videos in the weeks that followed showed Hamas fighters apparently emerging from beneath the rubble, likely from the sprawling tunnel network that crisscrosses the territory.
Tunnels were always the main problem here. You can’t “clear” an area unless you clear the tunnels, and Israel has no way to do that.
Early on they tried flooding them, but this apparently just did not work at all.
“We began to notice a resurgence in Hamas less than a week after Israel withdrew from northern Gaza in January,” said Carter from CTP. “We saw this effect continuing throughout the strip … This has been the defining process from the Hamas battalions.”
Hamas has boasted of recruiting “thousands” of new fighters since the war began.
“They (Israel) have certainly killed a lot of Hamas fighters, but they’re still out there, and they’re going to be recruiting like crazy based on the kinds of things that Israel has done,” said Emily Harding, director of the Intelligence, National Security and Technology Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) in Washington, DC.
Israel never had a strategy. I’m sure someone said there was a strategy, but there is no evidence that there was ever any actual strategy that could have worked to destroy Hamas.
Basically: this is not a timeframe issue. There is no reason to believe that on a longer timeframe, Israel is going to be more successful than they have been already.
The best strategy for Israel for months now has been to escalate into Lebanon to distract from the failures in Gaza. That’s the only thing they can do.
Why is Israel destroying CIVILIAN HOMES in the WEST BANK?
I thought they said Hamas was only in Gaza? pic.twitter.com/gyMjc1oJYG
— The Saviour (@stairwayto3dom) August 5, 2024
