Russia Officially Tells Europe They Might Not be Getting Any More Gas – “Extraordinary Circumstances”

Andrew Anglin July 19, 2022

Well, it looks like Russia really is shutting off the gas, as I requested. At least, Putin is threatening to do that, and will presumably turn it back on if NATO backs down and surrenders Russia’s part of the Ukraine, and gets Zelensky to sign a paper saying he won’t join NATO.

I just really wish Putin would hire me as an advisor.

Instead of just announcing this, I would have had him film a parody of Charlie and the Chocolate Factory where he is announcing this in the form of a song while wearing a Willy Wonka costume at the Gazprom facility and there are midgets swimming in crude oil.

And, if Putin was like “sorry, kid – I’m too cool to dress up like Willy Wonka,” then I’d go to plan B, which would be hiring Arnold Schwarzenegger to reprise his role as Mr. Freeze, and tell everyone in Europe they’re going to “soon join me in my Winter Wonderland.”

Arnold would agree to that role, because he’s like, against using gas. Plus, frankly, he probably needs the money – he’s got some pretty serious child support stuff going on.

By the way – why is Mr. Freeze’s mistress black in that movie? Also, is that Lil Kim?

Russia definitely shouldn’t put her in the menacing Gazprom ad.

Reuters:

Russia’s Gazprom has told customers in Europe it cannot guarantee gas supplies because of ‘extraordinary’ circumstances, according to a letter seen by Reuters, upping the ante in an economic tit-for-tat with the West over Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine.

Dated July 14, the letter from the Russian state gas monopoly, said it was declaring force majeure on supplies, starting from June 14.

Known as an ‘act of God’ clause, force majeure is standard in business contracts and spells out extreme circumstances that excuse a party from their legal obligations.

Gazprom’s had no immediate comment.

Uniper, Germany’s biggest importer of Russian gas, was among the customers who said they had received a letter, and that it had formally rejected the claim as unjustified.

RWE, Germany’s largest power producer and another importer of Russian gas, also said it has received a force majeure notice.

“Please understand that we cannot comment on its details or our legal opinion,” the company said.

A trading source, asking not to be identified because of the sensitivity of the issue, said the force majeure concerned supplies through the Nord Stream 1 pipeline, a major supply route to Germany and beyond.

Flows through the pipeline are at zero as the link undergoes annual maintenance that began on July 11 and is meant to conclude on Thursday.

Europe fears Moscow could keep the pipeline mothballed in retaliation for sanctions imposed on Russia over the war in Ukraine, heightening an energy crisis that risks tipping the region in recession.

Already on June 14, Gazprom had cut the pipeline’s capacity to 40%, citing the delay of a turbine being maintained in Canada by equipment supplier Siemens Energy (ENR1n.DE).

Canada sent the turbine for the Nord Stream gas pipeline to Germany by plane on July 17 after repair work had been completed, Kommersant newspaper reported on Monday, citing people familiar with the situation.

I am personally not convinced that it is possible for the US to send LNG on boats to Europe to cover them for the winter. I have not looked at the math, but just try to think about it in your head – the difference between a shipping tanker and a pipe. How many tankers full of LNG does it take to move the amount of gas that can be moved through a large pipe in an hour?

I think you would have to have several hundred ships arriving every day, and the logistics of this make no sense. Where would you get the boats? China owns most of the boats that do the shipping to the US (a lot of them are also owned by Arabs and the Japanese).

How much of anything is usually even shipped from America to Europe? Does Europe have the facilities to receive this number of boats full of LNG?

Here’s a Nord Stream pipe
This is an LNG tanker
This is the route from Galveston to Rotterdam
Google Maps doesn’t allow sea route calculations, but that’s 5,000 miles as the crow flies.

I guess someone can do this math, but the US government couldn’t do the math on the sanctions.

I don’t think it’s physically possible to put together a plan to move this much LNG in tankers to Europe before the winter, and in fact, I think the infrastructure to make this possible would take years, because you would have to build so many new tankers and you would have to build the ports in Europe and refit the piping network to distribute it.

But hey, listen – I really am just talking out of my ass, based on what seems to be common sense. I don’t know how many unused LNG tankers are in the combined fleets of America and Europe and I don’t know anything about refitting ports or pipes. Maybe it’s really simple, and I’m just an uninformed moron.

I’m really just a guy who writes about social phenomenon and some stuff about politics. I’m not a logistics engineer, and I try not to talk out of my ass. I’ve tried to search around the internet, and all I find is Ukraine war shills saying “oh yeah, this is totally no problem.” I don’t understand why there would be thousands of LNG tankers unused just floating around in bays, and I legitimately don’t believe you can build an LNG tanker in a couple weeks.

But who knows?

What I can say is this: Even if they work it out, it is going to cost over a trillion dollars, and you know who’s not going to pay for it? The Europeans. Fair enough. War with Russia wasn’t their idea. (Well, it was Poland and Estonia’s idea, but it wasn’t Germany or France’s idea.)

Bravo Russia.

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