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Reuters really buried the lede on this box this morning.
I’m pretty sure that during a military campaign, you’re always planning the next stage of your offensive.
Meanwhile, former British Prime Ministers don’t often say that a hundreds-of-years-long period of Western dominance is coming to an end.
The Ukraine war shows that the West’s dominance is coming to an end as China rises to superpower status in partnership with Russia at one of the most significant inflection points in centuries, former British Prime Minister Tony Blair said.
The world, Blair said, was at a turning point in history comparable with the end of World War Two or the collapse of the Soviet Union: but this time the West is clearly not in the ascendant.
“We are coming to the end of Western political and economic dominance,” Blair said in a lecture entitled “After Ukraine, What Lessons Now for Western Leadership?” according to a text of the speech to a forum supporting the alliance between the United States and Europe at Ditchley Park west of London.
“The world is going to be at least bi-polar and possibly multi-polar,” Blair said. “The biggest geo-political change of this century will come from China not Russia.”
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has killed thousands and triggered the most serious crisis in relations between Russia and the West since the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis, when many people feared the world was on the brink of nuclear war.
President Vladimir Putin says the West has declared economic war by trying to isolate Russia’s economy with sanctions and the Kremlin says Russia will turn to powers such as China and India.
The war in Ukraine, Blair said, had clarified that the West could not rely on China “to behave in the way we would consider rational”.
Chinese President Xi Jinping has continued supporting Putin and criticised sanctions “abuse” by the West. Putin has forged what he calls a “strategic partnership” with China.
China in 1979 had an economy that was smaller than Italy’s, but after opening to foreign investment and introducing market reforms it has become the world’s second-largest economy.
Its economy is forecast to overtake the United States within a decade and it leads in some 21st century technologies such as artificial intelligence, regenerative medicine and conductive polymers.
“China’s place as a superpower is natural and justified. It is not the Soviet Union,” said Blair, who was prime minister from 1997 to 2007. Its allies are likely to be Russia and Iran.
The West should not let China overtake militarily, he said.
“We should increase defence spending and maintain military superiority,” Blair said. The United States and its allies “should be superior enough to cater for any eventuality or type of conflict and in all areas.”
Yeah, well.
I should have beautiful women lining up outside my house to take turns giving me blowjobs and I should have free gourmet cheeseburgers from various elite burger establishments delivered to my front door every hour on the hour. I should have a water cooler filled with Grey Goose. I should be able to travel through time and give Adolf Hitler instructions on how to build a nuclear weapon. I should have an indestructible mech suit. I should be able to teleport. I should be the Batman. I should own the New York Times building and drape a swastika from it.
Saying “oh well, we should win an arms race with China” is one of the most inane statements I’ve heard from anyone so far.
However, saying that the West is officially in the process of losing its place as dominant world superpower – that is interesting.
The problem with maintaining the military while also losing superpower status is that superpower status and infinite military are both based on the dollar as the world reserve currency. China’s new status as world superpower is based on the fact that they make things.
If you’ve lost Tony Blair, you’re in a pretty bad spot.
This guy is an ultra globalist, who since retiring from politics, has been a key mover and shaker, and probably one of the only competent ones in the boomer age range. If anyone knows what’s going on, it’s him.
Remember a few months ago when the media was telling you the Ukraine was going to beat Russia in a war?
