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Previously: Shadow of Things to Come: Houthis Announce Successful Attack on US Aircraft Carrier
I’ve been saying for a while that the US military establishment is not engaged with the issue of new technological developments, particularly involving cheap drones and missiles, and how these have changed the battlefield in the Middle East.
I read through various think tanks, and these groups are all run by men in their sixties who appear to think the entire Middle East will forever be 2003 Iraq. All of their strategies involve combating an enemy identical to the various forces they’ve fought for two decades.
It’s easy to believe they are shocked by the Houthis.
RT:
The arsenal now possessed by Yemen’s Houthi rebels has come as a shock to the Pentagon, Axios reported on Thursday. According to the outlet, the Pentagon’s top weapons buyer, Bill LaPlante, told a defense summit in Washington earlier this week that the group’s capabilities “are getting scary.”
The Houthis, which control the Yemeni capital of Sanaa and significant areas in the northwestern part of the country, have been disrupting shipping in the Red Sea over the past year in an attempt to pressure Israel over the war in Gaza.
“What I’ve seen of what the Houthis have done in the last six months is something that – I’m just shocked,” LaPlante reportedly said. He added that the rebels are brandishing increasingly sophisticated weapons, including missiles that “can do things that are just amazing.”
Obviously, the Houthis are not going to make huge gains against the US or Israel. But the point is that they do not have to do that. The only measure of victory for a resistance group is their ability to survive. The greater power trying to defeat them has to meet the challenge of getting them to stop attacking, and this means destroying the group.
This is why it’s in my view not debatable that Hamas is winning in Gaza. Israel has made no progress at all in defeating Hamas. They’ve killed tens of thousands of people and destroyed everyone’s houses, but Hamas is as strong or stronger than it was on October 7th.
The Houthis can hold out indefinitely, and so can Hezbollah. Hamas probably can’t hold out indefinitely, because their territory is so small and they’re trapped in it, but they can hold out for quite a while.
The issue is: if the US attacks Iran to overthrow the ruling government, Iran is going to become one massive territory for these types of resistance groups. It will be the Taliban on steroids, and they will have the ability to keep the Straits of Hormuz permanently closed to Western ships. The only way the US will be able defeat Iran is by attempting to go down into the tunnels and kill everyone who is firing drones and rockets.
After the fall of Saddam’s government in Iraq, the war against “insurgents” (i.e., civilians who took up arms against the invading power) went on for a decade and cost trillions of dollars. Iran is five times the size of Iraq, the people are much more advanced, and they have these cheap new weapons technologies.
“Destroying the Iranian regime” is a nonstarter. Still, it’s what Bibi is demanding, and he appears to have the ability to force the US to give it a shot.
#FMsays The tense situation in the Red Sea is a prominent manifestation of the spillover of the #Gaza conflict and the pressing need for the international community is to work together, FM spokesman Lin Jian said after #Yemen‘s Houthi group said they launched attacks on Tuesday… pic.twitter.com/cVPcaJNSDi
— China Daily (@ChinaDaily) November 13, 2024
