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This is an extremely conservative estimate.
As things stand right now, Israel is continuing to say that they are not stopping until they “destroy Hamas.”
The only possible way to “destroy Hamas” is to kill virtually everyone in Palestine. You would have to kill at least 80% of the population, and probably much more.
Unless something changes, and this keeps going like this until “Hamas is destroyed,” the final death toll is going to be more than 1.5 million.
Frankly, I really despise it when “experts” come out with these estimates that make headlines – always very specific (if it’s an estimate, why “186,000” instead of a more rounded number?) – and are taken seriously, despite the fact that their methodology is more or less arbitrary.
In this context, “the Lancet estimates” means about as much as “some guy guesses.”
As many as 186,000 Palestinians may be killed directly or indirectly by the Gaza war, the British medical journal, the Lancet, has predicted.
“Even if the conflict were to end immediately, many indirect deaths will continue to be recorded in the coming months and years due to causes such as reproductive, communicable and non-communicable diseases,” the journal reported.
The death toll could exceed this figure, it said, “given the intensity of this conflict; destroyed healthcare infrastructure; severe shortages of food, water and shelter; the population’s inability to flee to safe places; and the loss of funding to [the UN agency for Palestinian refugees] Unrwa, one of the very few humanitarian organisations still active in the Gaza Strip”.
The Lancet’s prediction is based on a June 19th report by the Hamas-run Gaza health ministry that 37,306 Palestinians had been killed since Israel launched its war on Gaza in response to the October 7th attack on it by Hamas, in which 1,200 people were killed and more than 250 taken hostage, according to Israel.
The Lancet said the figure adopted as the base for its projection was “likely an underestimate” due to the thousands of bodies under rubble. The health ministry collects data on “people dying in its hospitals or brought in dead” as well as from “reliable media sources and first responders”, it said.
In recent conflicts, the Lancet said, “indirect deaths range from three to 15 times the number of direct deaths”. Its projected figure of 186,000 overall deaths was reached by applying “a conservative estimate of four deaths per one direct death”. The Lancet said this would amount to 7.9 per cent of Gaza’s 2.3 million Palestinians.
The Jewish plan is to just kill everyone.
Here’s a question worth pondering: how does God view the Americans who are paying taxes to make this happen and are not speaking out against it?
Most people are not Evangelical Zionist “Christians” actively supporting the genocide. I think it’s safe to say that those people are going to Hell if they don’t do some very serious repentance. But what about the people who are looking at this situation, who know that their government is funding it, and are taking the attitude of “I’m alright, Jack”?
I wouldn’t want to be those people.
This Gaza massacre is the worst human atrocity that has ever happened in recorded history. In my view, the people who are not taking a stand against it are complicit.
