Extremely Close Races in Battleground States

Andrew Anglin
Daily Stormer
July 13, 2016

Something which non-Americans (and younger public school-educated Americans) may not be aware of is that in America, the person who gets the most votes does not necessarily win the election. You have to win states, then the state’s electoral votes are counted. Meaning that national polls are in some ways not especially meaningful, given that in some super-liberal or super-conservative states, one candidate might get 80% of the vote, but it would be the same as getting 51% of the vote.

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2012 electoral college votes, showing the number of votes each state is worth

In 2000, Al Gore won the popular vote but lost the electoral college to George W. Bush.

What matters are the “battleground states” where the people can swing either way.

Daily Caller:

Florida: 

The latest poll out of the Sunshine State shows Trump in the lead. The New York real estate developer is leading with 47 percent, Clinton follows with 42 percent, and Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson has just 2 percent.

The JMC Analytics poll was conducted on July 9 and 10 following the Orlando shooting. This poll in fact shows that Trump is leading Clinton 49 percent to 36 percent among Hispanic voters. While the presumptive Republican nominee has expressed harsh rhetoric towards Mexicans this election, there aren’t many in Florida compared to other heavily Latin states.

Another recent poll out of Florida from BayNews9 shows Clinton leading Trump 46 percent to 42 percent. This poll breaks down Hispanic voters by non-Cuban ones and Cubans. While Clinton is leading with non-Cubans 61 percent to 26 percent, Trump is leading among Cubans 45 percent to 34 percent. Cubans are the largest Latin ethnic group in Florida.

A Gravis poll from late June shows Clinton ahead of Trump 49 percent to 45 percent.

Nevada:

There is not much polling out of Nevada, but the only one in the last two months is luckily recent. A Monmouth University poll shows Hillary leading Trump 45 percent to 41 percent. Gov. Johnson notches 5 percent in this poll. The poll shows both Clinton and Trump suffering from equally bad favorability numbers. Thirty-five percent of voters view Trump favorably, while 53 percent have an unfavorable view of him. Thirty-four percent of voters view Clinton favorably, while 54 percent see her unfavorably.

North Carolina:

A late June poll of North Carolina from CBS News/YouGov has Hillary leading Trump 44 percent to 42 percent. The poll, like many, has voters split among race and gender.

Male voters support Trump 45 percent to 41 percent for Clinton. With female voters Clinton is leading 47 percent and Trump has 39 percent of their support. Trump leads among white voters with 53 percent of their backing, 32 percent of white North Carolinians polled support Clinton.

Hillary leads among black voters 85 percent to 6 percent.

Another June poll, conducted June 21 to June 23 by Civitas, shows Clinton leading 42 percent and Trump behind by a hair with 40 percent. Johnson gets 6 percent in this poll, and ten percent of voters are undecided.

Ohio:

The most recent poll out of Ohio shows Trump leading 47 percent to 46 percent, with 7 percent supporting “other.” The Gravis poll was of 1,270 registered voters and was conducted on June 27 and June 28.

Another June poll, this one from Public Policy Polling, has Clinton leading Trump 44 percent to 40 percent.

A Quinnipiac University poll conducted June 8 – 19 has Clinton and Trump tied at 40 percent.

Iowa:

There is only one recent poll out of Iowa and it is a June survey from Loras University. This poll has Clinton with a strong lead over Trump, 44 percent to 30.7 percent. Of the 600 registered Iowa voters polled 60.4 percent are disappointed with the options they have in the general election.

New Hampshire:

A late June poll of New Hampshire has Clinton leading 47 percent to 42 percent. The American Research Group poll shows 55 percent of men back Trump and 37 percent back Clinton. Hillary though leads with women 57 percent to Trump’s 30 percent.

A June poll from Public Policy Polling also shows Clinton leading 43 percent to 39 percent.

Pennsylvania:

The most recent poll out of Pennsylvania has Clinton and Trump essentially tied. Clinton leads Trump 48 percent to 47 percent in a late June Gravis poll.

A June Public Policy Polling poll also has Clinton in the lead. Hillary has 46 percent and Trump follows with 42 percent.

A Quinnipiac University poll from June has the race in Pennsylvania tight. Clinton is in the lead with 39 percent, Trump has 36 percent, Johnson gets 9 percent, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein notches 4 percent support.

Colorado:

A CBS News/YouGov poll of Colorado from late June has Clinton and Trump neck and neck. Clinton is ahead with 40 percent, followed by Trump with 39 percent, and Johnson with 4 percent. The poll shows that 43 percent of Clinton supporters and 55 percent of Trump supporters back their respective candidate out of disdain for their opponent.

These are the polls that matter.

If Trump wins all these, he wins. And they are all close.

The reason that the national polls matter is that the announcement of the poll results by the media effect energy levels. And as all elections in this retarded system of universal suffrage democracy are ultimately decided based on the emotions of a relatively small percentage of mainly female voters, energy levels are extremely important.