Michael Moore: 5 Reasons Trump Will Win

Hunter Wallace
Occidental Dissent
July 24, 2016

Michael Moore is predicting Trump will win the presidency because the White working class in the Midwest will turn against Hillary:

“Friends:

I am sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but I gave it to you straight last summer when I told you that Donald Trump would be the Republican nominee for president. And now I have even more awful, depressing news for you: Donald J. Trump is going to win in November. This wretched, ignorant, dangerous part-time clown and full time sociopath is going to be our next president. President Trump. Go ahead and say the words, ‘cause you’ll be saying them for the next four years: “PRESIDENT TRUMP.”

Never in my life have I wanted to be proven wrong more than I do right now. …

From Green Bay to Pittsburgh, this, my friends, is the middle of England – broken, depressed, struggling, the smokestacks strewn across the countryside with the carcass of what we use to call the Middle Class. Angry, embittered working (and nonworking) people who were lied to by the trickle-down of Reagan and abandoned by Democrats who still try to talk a good line but are really just looking forward to rub one out with a lobbyist from Goldman Sachs who’ll write them nice big check before leaving the room. What happened in the UK with Brexit is going to happen here. Elmer Gantry shows up looking like Boris Johnson and just says whatever shit he can make up to convince the masses that this is their chance! To stick to ALL of them, all who wrecked their American Dream! And now The Outsider, Donald Trump, has arrived to clean house! You don’t have to agree with him! You don’t even have to like him! He is your personal Molotov cocktail to throw right into the center of the bastards who did this to you! SEND A MESSAGE! TRUMP IS YOUR MESSENGER! …”

I think he is right.

This race was always going to be decided in the Rust Belt: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Ohio. I’m throwing Iowa in here too even though it isn’t really part of the industrial belt.

These states are full of older, White working class voters. Republicans haven’t been able to win here because they nominate candidates like Mitt Romney who run on libertarian economics. Trump is going to go after them with full-throated economic nationalism. Nationally, Whites have never been more downbeat about the future.

Trump’s chances of winning here turn on driving up his numbers with White blue collar voters while minimizing his losses with very religious voters and white collar, college educated suburbanites. It also depends on Democratic turnout with blacks and Millennials in the big cities and college towns.

Democratic turnout in the primaries was already way down from 2008. Republican turnout in the primaries set new records. Trump’s populist insurgency triumphed while the Sanders insurgency failed. Hillary had abysmal numbers with Millennials and even though she won blacks by large margins their turnout was way down.

Hillary-Kaine just doesn’t strike me as the winning ticket in this region with this message with these demographics. The enthusiasm gap could be large enough to tip these swing states to Trump. I think Trump will have the easier path rousing cucked Midwesterners to go to the polls than Hillary will with Sanders supporting Millennials.

Trump has risen to a 42.3% chance of winning in the 538 forecast. Take a look at Nevada too where Trump is performing better than expected.

Note: Hillary introduced Tim Kaine as her running mate at a rally in Florida this afternoon. What do you think? Sounds like another ¡Jeb! to me. Please clap.