Neil Ferguson’s Code for Computer Model Used to Predict Coronavirus Apocalypse is Garbage

Pictured: Neil Ferguson begging the government to take away your rights.

It seems that most professionals not working for the government can see that this whole Doom Virus lockdown stuff is total lunacy.

There are respected epidemiologists saying that there’s no way that governments got the virus wrong by accident, doctors saying that the lockdown is pointless, and now you also have computer people looking at the computer model that’s responsible for the United Kingdom’s insane lockdown and saying that they’d fire anyone behind it.

Daily Mail:

Scientists have levelled a flurry of criticism against Professor Neil Ferguson’s modelling which warned 500,000 people could die from coronavirus, prompting Britain to go into lockdown.

Modelling from Imperial College London epidemiologist Professor Ferguson, who stepped down from the government’s Sage group at the start of May, has been described as unreliable by experts, while tests of the model have pulled together different results, The Telegraph reports.

David Richards, co-founder of British data technology company WANdisco, said: ‘In our commercial reality we would fire anyone for developing code like this and any business that relied on it to produce software for sale would likely go bust.’

On March 17, just days before the country was placed into lockdown, Imperial College London published research titled urging a lockdown to be put in place to stop the virus spreading.

Researchers from the university warned 510,000 people could die from the virus if no action was taken.

Had the Government stuck with their strategy of trying to ‘mitigate’ the spread – allowing it to continue but attempting to slow it down with limited measures such as home isolation for those with symptoms – this number would be roughly halved to 260,000, the report said.

It showed that mitigation would not be insufficient to prevent the NHS becoming overwhelmed by looking at bed capacity.

If the strictest possible measures are introduced – including school closures and mandatory home quarantine – the number of deaths over a two-year period will fall below 20,000, the scientists said.

As a result, the Government announced people should stop travelling, stop socialising and work from home.

The death toll has still exceeded that which was predicted by the Imperial team by at least double.

The Government’s total death toll currently stands at 34,466. Using data that collects death certificates, it is more in the region of 39,000.

Death toll predictions are absolute garbage.

Besides the fact that hospitals are eager and encouraged to blame coronavirus for as many deaths as possible, there’s the fact that most people allegedly dying from coronavirus are very old and have preexisting conditions, meaning that they’d be dying from something else if coronavirus weren’t around.

Then there’s the fact that the lockdown is not a quarantine, and it isn’t effective at stopping the virus.

Supermarkets during the lockdown.

Anglin pointed that out back in April, and he was proved right by SCIENCE in early May.

Scientists looked at actual data from Europe, and came to the conclusion that the lockdown is useless, and that the only measures that have any worthwhile effect on curbing the spread of the virus are closing schools and banning mass gatherings.

There is no reason why people shouldn’t be allowed to leave their homes and live their lives.

This is proof that all models assuming that the lockdown is able to stop the spread of the virus are absolute trash that should be ignored.

We have the data now, after doing the lockdown, and we don’t need to make predictions about whether or not the lockdown will work.

Imagine if when the Titanic had begun sinking the crew had refused to allow people to board lifeboats because they had a predictive model that claimed the Titanic was unsinkable.

Data is worth a whole lot more than a model or a graph, and using a model when you already have the established data is lunacy.

We know that the lockdown doesn’t work, and we know that it is destroying people’s mental health, their jobs, the economy, and the future for no reason.

Criticism of the estimates largely comes down to the coding used, which has been described as a ‘buggy mess’ by Dr Richards.

Scientists have claimed that it is almost impossible to reproduce the same results from the same data, using the same code as Imperial, according to The Telegraph.

University of Edinburgh researchers reportedly found bugs when running the model, getting different results when they used different machines, or even the same machines in some cases.

Weeks after the model’s grim prediction, the University of Edinburgh’s Professor Michael Thursfield criticised Professor Ferguson’s record as ‘patchy’ referring to his predictions in the early 2000s that up to 136,000 people could die from mad cow disease.

The Imperial College team’s modelling led to the culling of 6million livestock and was later criticised by epidemiological experts as severely flawed and a tragedy for rural Britain’s economy.

The team also predicted 200million could die from bird flu and a further 65,000 from swine flu. The final death toll in each case was in the hundreds.

Dr Konstantin Boudnik, the VP of architecture at WANdisco, told The Telegraph: ‘The facts from the early 2000s are just yet another confirmation that their modelling approach was flawed to the core.’

Now that they’ve been proved wrong yet another time, the obvious question that everyone should be asking is why is the government still pretending that coronavirus is a threat?

The lockdown is useless.

We know that the only thing that works to stop the spread is to close schools and ban mass gatherings.

We also know that coronavirus is only as dangerous as the flu.

We know that the models that they used to push the lockdown are a joke.

Why on Earth are they not giving us back our rights?