Andrew Anglin
Daily Stormer
March 28, 2020
These people are saying exactly what I’ve been saying – that listing the number of infected, based on current testing methods, and then coming up with projections about potential death rates is retarded, and any models built on this data are going to be wrong.
It matters more when they say it because they’re Stanford Professors.
Two professors of medicine at Stanford University published an opinion article Tuesday in the Wall Street Journal, suggesting there is little evidence that the coronavirus would kill millions of people without shelter-in-place orders and quarantines.
“Fear of Covid-19 is based on its high estimated case fatality rate—2% to 4% of people with confirmed Covid-19 have died, according to the World Health Organization and others,” the article, headlined “Is the Coronavirus as Deadly as They Say?”andwritten by Dr. Eran Bendavid and Dr. Jay Bhattacharya, reads. “So if 100 million Americans ultimately get the disease, two million to four million could die. We believe that estimate is deeply flawed. The true fatality rate is the portion of those infected who die, not the deaths from identified positive cases.”
The deaths from identified positive cases are “misleading” because of limited data, according to the professors.
“If the number of actual infections is much larger than the number of cases—orders of magnitude larger—then the true fatality rate is much lower as well. That’s not only plausible but likely based on what we know so far,” the professors argued.
The professors cited data from Iceland, China, the United States, and Italy, which is arguably the hardest-hit region when it comes to the coronavirus.
“On March 6, all 3,300 people of Vò were tested, and 90 were positive, a prevalence of 2.7%,” the professors said. “Applying that prevalence to the whole province (population 955,000), which had 198 reported cases, suggests there were actually 26,000 infections at that time. That’s more than 130-fold the number of actual reported cases. Since Italy’s case fatality rate of 8% is estimated using the confirmed cases, the real fatality rate could in fact be closer to 0.06%.”
The professors argued that current epidemiological models aren’t adequate for two key reasons.
“First, the test used to identify cases doesn’t catch people who were infected and recovered. Second, testing rates were woefully low for a long time and typically reserved for the severely ill. Together, these facts imply that the confirmed cases are likely orders of magnitude less than the true number of infections,” it reads.
Ultimately, while stressing the seriousness of the virus that has infected almost half a million people, the professors aren’t convinced a universal quarantine is the most logical course of action.
“A universal quarantine may not be worth the costs it imposes on the economy, community and individual mental and physical health,” the article concluded. “We should undertake immediate steps to evaluate the empirical basis of the current lockdowns.”
Not to give myself a back massage here, but I’ve been more consistent and correct on this issue than anyone.
I said two weeks ago that no one knew how many people were infected and that it had to have spread throughout the United States rapidly. At the time, I said that if the virus was really as deadly as was being guessed, we’d start seeing mass death.
And we have not seen mass death.
What we’ve seen is a death rate that is almost certainly going to end up much lower than the flu.
In six weeks, you’re going to know just how right I was.
I am famous for refusing to make any hard predictions about anything based on speculation. Well, this is no longer speculation. We know that the data doesn’t justify any of these weird measures being taken and we know that doomsday isn’t happening.
Meanwhile, the hysterical Doom Cultists are retreating to flat earth tier conspiracy theories spread by the CIA about a secret 21 million dead in China. They cannot break free of their hysterical state, because they are being pumped up by the media and goofy boomer claptrap on YouTube.
I feel bad for them, but they are literally destroying society. We should be protesting this lockdown, not celebrating it. When the fog clears, you’re going to see a country whose economy has been completely destroyed, with millions out of work and the potential for a complete collapse – because you’re scared of the flu.
The media and the Democrats are constantly trying to create nebulous invisible enemies that are everywhere and nowhere at once. They were lying about Russian hackers and they’re lying about this virus.