Germany Still Refusing to Send Long-Range Missiles to the Ukraine

Satellite view of the battlefield

Previously: Apparently, We’re Now Talking About Peace Talks

Scholz has said repeatedly he was not going to send various weapons and then sent them anyway.

It’s still not totally clear what direction this is going in. After the complete and utter failure of the “counteroffensive,” there are a lot of people in the West calling for peace talks. The CIA recently “announced,” via a Washington Post article, that they are planning peace talks in the fall.

See: WaPo Officially Announces the CIA is Planning Negotiated Ukraine Surrender, Buries Lede

But who the hell knows?

RT:

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has said Berlin is reluctant to provide longer-range munitions to Kiev out of concern for a possible escalation should Ukraine decide to use them to strike Russian territory. 

In a wide-ranging interview with the German state-TV channel ARD on Sunday, the chancellor was asked why Berlin refuses to supply Kiev with long-range cruise missiles.

“We carefully check all the requests we receive. But for us there is a principle that I share with the US president – we do not want the weapons we supply to be used to attack Russian territories,” Scholz told ARD journalist Tina Hassel.

Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky reportedly told Scholz during their meeting in Berlin back in May that Kiev “urgently wants” Swedish-German Taurus KEPD 350 missiles. The air-launched munition is armed with a 500kg warhead and can travel up to 500km (310 miles).

Over the course of the conflict, Ukraine has demanded increasingly sophisticated weapon systems from its Western backers. Kiev has intensified calls for NATO to supply it with fighter jets – specifically the US-made F-16 – in recent months, after securing a pledge for dozens of Leopard 2 and 1, M1 Abrams, and Challenger 2 main battle tanks from multiple EU countries, the US, and the UK.

We have to note that Brandon himself said he would never send Abrams tanks because that would cause World War III. Then he changed his mind. Furthermore, a lot of Western weapons have already been used to attack Belgorod, and the West does not seem to think this is a big deal.

Logically, the war should end. There is nothing more to be done. But Mark Milley Cyrus said this nearly a year ago – “nothing more they can do.”

But… it just kept going.

So far, the only country that has sent long-range missiles is the UK, which sends “Storm Shadows.” Those have of course been used to attack random apartments. The UK hasn’t publicly commented on the Ukraine using them to target random civilians.

Rishi – who, by the way, I was never ready for – is a lunatic who wants a war with China to settle an ancient Hindu blood oath.

As I say: I have no predictions, ever.

A NATO deployment seems less likely than it did a few months ago, but it’s still possible. Probably, some kind of “frozen conflict” is more likely. Particularly if Russia starts really pushing on Kharkov, the US will want to stop the war to save territory.

But there is a sunk cost fallacy at work. Russia has now a lot more than the area they were originally demanding.