Is the Ukraine Getting Thrown Under the Bus or What?

It’s so funny that after a year, someone is forcing all of these international human rights organizations to come out and talking about the atrocities happening in the Ukraine.

RT:

The Ukrainian military injured scores of civilians when it fired thousands of illegal mines across the city of Izium last year, Human Rights Watch (HRW) has alleged. The mines, similar to those allegedly used by Ukraine against civilians in Donetsk, were found near schools and kindergartens.

The mines were fired into the city by rocket while it was occupied by Russian forces between April and September of last year, the NGO said in a report published on Tuesday. Dispersed hundreds at a time, the Soviet-era PFM mines are distinctively butterfly- or petal-shaped devices and are designed to maim rather than kill those unfortunate enough to step on them or pick them up.

The HRW team entered the city following Russia’s withdrawal in mid-September and found the mines in nine locations, including a school, and kindergarten, and a hospital.

Healthcare workers said that more than 50 civilians, including at least five children, were wounded by the mines. Around half of the injuries led to amputations of the foot or lower leg. At least one death was recorded, that of an elderly man who picked up one of the devices in his yard. However, investigators could not rule out other factors in the man’s death.

Some of the mines were fitted with timed fuses, and would explode without warning up to three days after being dispersed.

According to more than 100 residents, Russian forces attempted to warn locals of the danger posed by the Ukrainian mines, cleared some of the explosives, and transported victims to Russia for treatment. Once the Russians left Izium, demining duties were reportedly carried out by Ukrainian troops.

Use of such antipersonnel mines is prohibited under the 1997 Mine Ban Treaty, to which Ukraine is a signatory. The US and Russia are not parties to the treaty.

So:

  • Is it the rank and file of HRW that were finally able to force the leadership to acknowledge atrocities?
  • Or is this coming out on purpose as part of a plan to roll back this lunatic war?

It’s unclear, but it would fit into the perception that the US is preparing to start the big wind-down.

There are all kinds of moving parts here, and different people are coming up with different narratives. Yesterday, I heard Tucker Carlson say World War III is a definite and I heard most of the panel on All-In agree that the US appears to be maneuvering for a negotiated settlement.

What I’ve said is that I think a wind-down is probably the likeliest thing – especially after that RAND report that said the US is just burning resources that puts it in a worse place in terms of war with the Chinese.

I think the amount of tanks being sent, and what appears to be a really muddled program for servicing them, shows wavering commitment.

Meanwhile, Boris Johnson coming to America looks to me like an act of desperation by the pro-war forces. He’s still well-liked. Sending him in is a power-play that would only be necessary if serious doubt is festering.

Frankly, if I was a neocon, I would be demanding we pivot to China. RAND is right that there is zero to gain from continuing the war on Russia. The government is not going to collapse. That was the pitch: “we can do this quick with a small NATO force and some sanctions and Putin will be run out of office.” It was logical to give up when it was made clear that wasn’t happening. But there is mission creep and there is extreme Jewish hatred for Russians.

“Americans against Russia” hahahahahahaha

If they do a negotiated settlement, they can claim victory. Putin would probably at this point allow the Ukraine rump state to join NATO, as long as he got everything east of the river (including presumably Kharkov and Sumy). Americans are so stupid and fat they will believe it was a big victory, and resources can then go into planning this war with the Chinese.

A war with China is actually popular. Tucker Carlson supports it. I heard him last week say “well, we don’t actually want a war with China though,” but that was a response to me calling him out. He has Marco Rubio on to talk about China, he absolutely supports a war with China, the entire Ron DeSantis wing supports a war with China. They want to bring back the 1980s with China instead of Russia. They can actually organize people around hatred of China, whereas with Russia it’s not working.

But again: this would all assume these people can act rationally in their own interests, which has proved wrong before. So maybe they’re going to keep pushing. I don’t know and I’m not making a prediction. Maybe it’s 60-40 in favor of a pivot, but at this point we’re reading tea leaves.

Here’s how you’ll know: if they sent the fighter jets, they’re escalating. If they waver on that, we’re looking at a rollback.

Exciting times!