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Scoop: Ukrainian forces have begun “shaping” operations in S. Ukraine to prepare the battlefield for a significant Ukrainian counteroffensive, two senior US officials briefed on the intel tell me. US believes the long-anticipated counteroffensive will include air & ground ops. 1/
— Jim Sciutto (@jimsciutto) August 29, 2022
2/ Shaping operations are standard military practice prior to an offensive and involve striking weapons systems, command and control, ammunition depots and other targets to prepare the battlefield for planned advances.
— Jim Sciutto (@jimsciutto) August 29, 2022
3/ The plans come as Russia’s war in Ukraine has passed its six-month mark, with US assessments indicating that Russia has been able to deploy fewer units to the frontlines than initially thought, according to a senior US official.
— Jim Sciutto (@jimsciutto) August 29, 2022
4/ The official said many of the existing units — which Russia organizes into Battlefield Tactical Groups, or BTGs, comprising infantry, tanks, artillery and air defense — are deploying below strength, some even at half their normal manpower.
— Jim Sciutto (@jimsciutto) August 29, 2022
5/ Ukraine indicated Monday the actions were underway. “Ukrainian armed forces have started the offensive actions in several directions on the South front towards liberating the occupied territories,” Natalia Humeniuk, spokesperson for UKR’s Operational Command South, told CNN.
— Jim Sciutto (@jimsciutto) August 29, 2022
6/ She added: “All the details will be available after the operation is fulfilled.”
— Jim Sciutto (@jimsciutto) August 29, 2022
7/ Full piece here: https://t.co/de4mMIpKYY
— Jim Sciutto (@jimsciutto) August 29, 2022
8/ Fmr Ukr Pres Poroschenko just told us on the air that the operation is underway: THIS IS THE LONG-AWAITED COUNTEROFFENSIVE OPERATION. IT WAS STARTED TODAY AT 7:00 A.M. WITH SHELLING AND MISSILES ATTACK…”
— Jim Sciutto (@jimsciutto) August 29, 2022
9/ “…THIS IS FIRST TIME SINCE FEBRUARY 2022 WHEN SUCH A CONCENTRATED OF UKRAINIAN TROOPS WITH WESTERN ARTILLERY AND WITH WESTERN HIMARS AND WESTERN MISSILES WAS COLLECTED TOGETHER FOR THIS COUNTERATTACK.”
— Jim Sciutto (@jimsciutto) August 29, 2022
It’s about to get really real for real this time.
Ukraine announced on Monday the start of a long-awaited counter-offensive to retake territory in the south seized by Russian forces since their invasion six months ago, a move reflecting Kyiv’s growing confidence as Western military aid flows in.
The news came as a team from the U.N. nuclear watchdog headed to Ukraine to inspect the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant – captured by Russian forces in March but still run by Ukrainian staff – that has become a hotspot in the war.
Moscow and Kyiv have traded accusations of shelling in the vicinity of the nuclear plant, Europe’s largest and close to front lines, amid fears of a radiation disaster in a country still haunted by the 1986 Chornobyl disaster.
Sigh.
It’s controlled by Russia, but it’s just as possible that Russia is shelling themselves as that the Ukraine is shelling Russia.
“Today we started offensive actions in various directions, including in the Kherson region,” Ukrainian public broadcaster Suspilne cited southern command spokeswoman Natalia Humeniuk as saying.
Russia rapidly captured swathes of Ukraine’s south near the Black Sea coast, including the city of Kherson, in the early phase of the war in stark contrast to its failed attempt to capture the capital Kyiv.
Ukraine says it has begun the long-awaited counter-offensive to retake the Russian-held south.
I asked a source fighting near Kherson if they have the military equipment they need to sustain a counter-offensive.
"No. But it's the right moment now," he said.
— Cristina Maza (@CrisLeeMaza) August 29, 2022
Ukraine has been using sophisticated Western-supplied weapons to hit Russian ammunition dumps and wreak havoc with supply lines. Humeniuk told a briefing on Monday that Ukraine had struck more than 10 such ammunition dumps in the past week, adding they had “unquestionably weakened the enemy”.
Do you see the way they just quote official Ukraine spokespeople as facts?
Where is the video footage of the Ukraine “wreaking havoc” on supply lines?
She declined to give details of the counter-offensive, saying Russian forces in southern Ukraine remained “quite powerful”.
…
Earlier, the head of the International Atomic Agency (IAEA) said he would lead a team of inspectors this week to the Zaporizhzhia plant, on the Dnipro river in southern central Ukraine, without specifying the expected day of their arrival.
…
On Monday Russian-installed officials said a Ukrainian missile strike had punched a hole in the roof of a fuel depot at the Zaporizhzhia plant.
Russia’s defence ministry said its forces had shot down a Ukrainian drone that was trying to attack the nuclear power station, Russian news agencies reported. It said there was no serious damage and radiation levels were normal.
Interesting.
We’re all looking forward to the UN repot.
I think people will get fired, reports will get redacted, all sorts of drama – like with the “Assad gas attacks” situation.
Everyone knows what is going on – the Ukraine is shelling a nuclear power plant, with the blessing of the US State Department, just to create chaos, because they are so desperate.
The Ukraine was the one trying to prevent the UN from going in, and they might try to kill the UN inspectors and then blame Russia.
So, is it a good thing to announce to the enemy ahead of time?
— Tadpolini (@tadpolini6749) August 29, 2022
Geeez. Just tell the Putin everything. Snitch😂
— Sik-Wit-It (@R_cruz75) August 29, 2022
Why put this information out for all to see? Our thirst for as it happens news and information is astounding. Does anyone remember “ loose lips sink ships”?
— @_thompsonja (@tho72876932) August 29, 2022
Not to sure on their security if their plans are on Twitter
— Fix the planet: be progressive😷💉💉💉 (@Boom_ThatHurt) August 29, 2022
So much for the element of surprise 🙄
— jim@golaw-nh.com (@JimORourkeESQ) August 29, 2022
